Will Innovation Kill Us?

12 November 2015

Arguably, the single greatest threat to our continued existence on this planet is climate change. And we would not be facing this threat were it not for human ingenuity. After a mere two centuries or so of industrialization, our innovative activity on this planet has produced such a quantity of greenhouse gases that we are perilously close to the tipping point when climate change will accelerate on its own power, and nothing we do anymore will be able to stop it. Provided, that is, we don’t have a global nuclear meltdown first.

So, it’s no exaggeration to say that human innovation could actually kill us. Were it not for all those technological innovations that brought us mass production and the modern capitalist economy, we would be not be in the unfortunate position we are in now. But now that we are here, what are we to do?

One obvious answer is that we need to innovate further, innovate faster, innovate smarter, innovate ourselvesoutof the climate crisis. We need to develop new and better technologies, rethink our outmoded infrastructures, and possibly radically alter our economic system. We need change and we need it fast. Innovations in solar and wind power are already becoming part of the solution, but we need more, more, more.

But if innovation is what got us into this mess in the first place, what makes us think it’s going to get us out of it?

Let me be clear. First, I acknowledge that the Industrial Revolution and all its technological innovations have brought us tremendous benefits, economically and materially speaking anyway. Were it not for industrialization, our modern, comfy existence would be totally unrecognizable. Second, I welcome the move away from fossil fuels towards more sustainable sources like wind and solar energy as part of the solution to our current climate crisis.

But we also have to recognize how short sighted we humans are. Did anyone in the nineteenth century have any clue that the shift from handmade to mass produced could ultimately change the climate to such a degree that it could threaten our very existence on this planet? It’s doubtful.

我们无法预料到我们的创新会在哪些方面出错,所以盲目地遵循创新的道路在我看来是一个危险的命题。我们创新是为了解决问题,但这些创新又产生了新的问题,这就需要更多的创新,直到我们创新到被遗忘。也许我们需要后退一步,既要对创新采取批判的立场,也要回归一些更古老、传统的方法。

Now, I’m not saying we need to return to living in caves without running water or electricity. With the population of the Earth over seven billion already, this would not be feasible except for a few, and thus the impact on climate change would be negligible in the grand scheme of things. But there are ways to wind back the clock on innovation that might actually help us.

Take agriculture, for example. Granted, when innovative humans first started to cultivate crops and breed animals in the Neolithic Period, it was a major game-changer for humanity, resulting in longer life expectancy, larger populations, and the beginning of civilization. But look at where we are now. We’ve gone from small, organic farms to these huge industrialized facilities. Livestock are pumped with antibiotics because they’re kept in such cramped, filthy factory farms. And crops are sprayed with pesticides, which poison the soil and pollute the water. And what does all this industrialized food do to the people eating it? It seems to me, the way forward here is actually to take a step backwards and return to more small, organic farms, to do things more like our ancestors used to do it.

A common lament of our times is that “They don’t make things like they used to.” More than just an expression of nostalgia, this refrain captures a lot of what is wrong with the current obsession with innovation. It used to be that you could buy a machine or appliance of some sort and it would last for decades. Because it was built that way. That was its value. Now we haveplanned obsolescence. Products are made with cheap, shoddy materials so they will fall apart quickly, thus necessitating the purchase of more and more stuff. New, improved, updated products are always hitting the market with innovative new features the previous model was sorely lacking. And can you really live with yesterday’s product today?

Take that item, indispensible for life in the twenty-first century, the smart phone. They cost several hundred dollars to purchase new, then they’re discarded after a few years. And for what? So we can all spend more time staring at screens instead of directly interacting with friends and family? And when they become obsolete, which they do very quickly, they just add to the huge amount of junk piling up in our landfills. Thanks, innovation!

It might be starting to sound like my problem is not with innovationper se,但与消费资本主义。但我不认为这两者能轻易分开。为了不断地向我们出售产品,资本家必须不断地改造他们的产品,把它们推销为“新的和改进的”产品。消费资本主义既由创新推动,又激发进一步的创新来维持自身,所以这是一个恶性循环。当然,最终整个努力是不可持续的。有限的资源不可能带来无限的增长,再多的创新也无法改变这一基本事实。

Perhaps the reason I’m so critical of innovation is that I've only focused on the material, on the technological. But there are other kinds of innovations, like social or cultural innovations. The two often go hand in, but we can think about them separately. Consider how attitudes towards women and minorities have changed in the last century or two. The idea of a human right was once innovative, even if it’s something we now take for granted in our cosmopolitan world. There’s a sense in which innovation and human progress go hand in hand, though sometimes changes are slow and incremental rather than fast and abrupt. So, not all human progress is a result of innovation.

但我并不是说所有的创新都是坏的,或者我们应该,甚至可以停止创新。创新很可能是人类本性的一部分。我们取得的许多成就都要归功于创新。但创新可能会带来许多无法预见的负面后果,我们现在正面临着全球气候危机,我们正在了解这些后果。如果我们对创新不采取批判的态度,我们可能会面临更严重的危险。我们可以承认创新在哪些方面给我们带来了好处,但我们也必须认识到它的危险和局限性。

I am reminded of that discerning insight the character of Galileo offers towards the end of Brecht’s play of the same name.

“I take it that the intent of science is to ease human existence. If you give way to coercion, science can be crippled, and your new machines may simply suggest new drudgeries. Should you, then, in time, discover all there is to be discovered, your progress must be a progress away from the bulk of humanity. The gulf might even grow so wide that the sound of your cheering at some new achievement would be echoed by a universal howl of horror.” – Bertolt Brecht,Galileo

With all the material prosperity we have achieved since the Industrial Revolution, we have not yet managed to solve global poverty or economic inequality. Indeed, the gap between rich and poor continues to grow at an alarming rate. And we’re only going to see more and more job losses as the innovations of robotics and artificial intelligence replace even more workers, making the income gap even bigger.

那么,我们应该依靠创新来解决所有这些全球性问题吗?抑或创新最终会杀死我们?

Comments(7)


Guest's picture

Guest

Tuesday, November 17, 2015 -- 4:00 PM

Nowadays innovation is

Nowadays innovation is necessary for every company. Time has changed and every company wants to create their own path and rather to follow others. Even small business owners follow innovations and now it's really hard to find any company which uses not innocation.

lucytom's picture

lucytom

Wednesday, November 25, 2015 -- 4:00 PM

The answer is basically when

The answer is basically when we need to, we will! The innovation is accessible and there is expanded advancement in new vitality creating routines all the time it is only the cost of these that puts off substantial scale ventures as it is less expensive to utilize the limited assets. essay writing. The truth will surface eventually however, and we will discover green, renewable vitality arrangements - simply an issue of when that the reality of the situation will become obvious eventually!

smithanderson's picture

smithanderson

Monday, November 30, 2015 -- 4:00 PM

Good

Good

smithanderson's picture

smithanderson

Monday, November 30, 2015 -- 4:00 PM

I read this full post which

我读了这篇关于创新会杀死我们的文章。我不同意你说的“创新害死我们”。创新对我们的发展和更好的未来非常重要。
Click here

Bertthebold's picture

Bertthebold

Saturday, December 5, 2015 -- 4:00 PM

This topic is extremely deep

This topic is extremely deep for a blog article; it gets right into the fundamentals of the meaning of life.
I'm not a philosopher but I have innovated; and I've lived and dealt with resistance to innovation. I think it helps to see the human race as just another force of nature; and nature will always rebalance and find a way forward.
It is natural for us to seek to progress; and natural for us to learn from our mistakes when they arise. It's the great cycle of life.

Harold G. Neuman's picture

Harold G. Neuman

Monday, August 6, 2018 -- 12:12 PM

I did not weigh in on this

I did not weigh in on this question originally---was temporarily OOTL (out-of-the-loop). I think innovation is necessary in our technology-dependent world. The competitive nature of world participation leaves no room for any other course. Could it spell the end of the human diaspora, and even the end of intelligent life on earth?---these seem the relevant, if currently unanswerable, questions.

The answers, seems to me, are dependent on a) whether we continue our present course, or, more wisely, cease procrastination on inconvenient problems arising from innovative solutions to previous problems, and,b) when and how we more accurately predict problems which could/might/will arise from innovation.

在一个需要更快结果的世界里,主动性很难实现。我们的生存应该超越这些要求。或为好。这就是历史和进化的难题:该死的事情一个接一个……

Harold G. Neuman's picture

Harold G. Neuman

Tuesday, August 7, 2018 -- 11:03 AM

Footnote:

Footnote:
In his book, The Moral Animal, Robert Wright said something like what I wrote above (though I could not re-visit it to annotate a page number). His remark WAS eloquently shorter than mine, but the meaning was roughly similar...I think the book was Pantheon, from 1994...